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Friday, February 17, 2012

Bricking everything..

I wish I had some positive post to deliver, as that would mean things in general/on average were going well... But unfortunately I'm still not even in the black for 2012 and variance has a funny way of trumping some other things that would otherwise cause my day to finish on a high note... Matty (MrPaintball) and Nick (Frenzuh) moved in during January, and its been nice having solid players to discuss hands/spots with who have a deep understanding of the game and the swings we can go on. We've all had more final two table finishes during MTT's with no close than we care to count and in general the IP address is running pretty cold. I've been getting concerned with my $300+ SNG results pre rakeback - As I've been getting murdered for what feels like my entire sample.. I ran the hand histories through HEM to take a better look with the adjusted EV as well as take a better look at just how many of these games I've played.. (For those that don't know, green is winnings and red is expected value)



As you can see I'm not a super huge winner in these games according to my adjusted EV, but even breaking even playing $1k 6m and $500 6m with the rakeback I have (these results are filtered without rakeback) should produce a higher hourly than replacing the tables with $60 18m where I likely make around $6 a game after rakeback. (Maybe not that's a guess) By now I'm aware that adjusted ev isn't everything - But I am also aware that it is a reasonable indicator and I'm only stuck about 50 buyins (which I've lost in a day playing games I crush) , so for now I'll keep plugging and hope it turns around :) Good luck to everyone else!!!

Quick edit** This is for all games $300+, I'm positive in terms of buyins before and after ev for 6m at this buyin level... So 9m are apparently going really badly..**

Monday, January 23, 2012

When it rains it pours...

The variance to start the year has been pretty brutal.. I've had several final tables/final two tables with no close.. I ran awful in the 1k's/2k I played and am as of now very happy to be break even for the month :( Hopefully some of the high buyin variance turns around so I can get back to winning... Other than that my stable's struggling as well, so when it rains it pours...

bigbluffzinc 8 -$962.4 $1,162 -75% -$7,699 Tilt N/A PokerStars S600-111111

Sick sample size :)

Saturday, January 14, 2012

Already failing miserably...

I set some aggressive goals for 2012, and I can confidently say there aren't many I feel I'm doing an adequate job with! It has been an epic lazy fail start to the year... I've played 500 games, which is like 3 days worth of games in 15, I've played a decent amount of PLO but the lack of play in general sort of means I'm hitting the goal but only barely.. MTT's I have been on target with playing them on Sundays and keeping it just to that day, the gym was going really well prior to trying to help set Matty/Nick up with Pokerstars but as of now is a fail.. The same can be said about my diet and my spending as can be said about the gym... Fortunately I'm playing/running well when I do decide to play, and I am up a solid 10k before rakeback which could definitely be worse given my absent volume.... Shit's gonna pick up soon though, can't keep this pace going for long or SNE will just be suicide at the end of the year...

Monday, January 2, 2012

Super busy... no volume!

So far 2012 hasn't seen me hit SNG's very hard at all, so tomorrow I'm going to be looking to put in a big day and make up for some of the missing ground - I have no intention of starting this year slow and being forced into a mad push at the end of it like last year.. I've started a few new horses and have been doing quite a bit of coaching, so the time has been well spent it just hasn't been spent playing SNG's. PLO is off to a nice start, I intend to move up at the end of every month as long as I had a winning month, and move down/stay at the same limit if a month is breakeven/losing or I don't put in many hands depending on how I feel... I won't be moving up any faster than one jump per month because I feel my bankroll may take me into games where I really don't have an edge if I'm not very controlled with the limits.. That being said I'm up close to 15 buyins or so over the last week (obv sample size), so hopefully my run good continues there... MTT's also went well this past Sunday, had a deep run in both the mill and the Sunday 500.. The Sunday 500 saw me reship 20bb's from the SB vs a hj open from a reasonably laggy player with J9s - I thought the spot was good because I hadn't really been active at all, he looked me up with AT which was w.e. and he held.. Oh well better luck next time, good luck to all of you!

Friday, December 30, 2011

Massive Coaching....

Considering doing a massive coaching session where tons of people are sweating my play for an hour or two.. something to that extent, I don't wanna do free (would rather do discounted reeeeeal low.. although it could happen, will depend on interest whether or not it runs at all) Post in the comments with suggestions/whether or not you're interested..

PLO Schedule...

Going to be playing PLO on each of these days: (and it will likely be full ring for January until their Happy Hour promo expires) in order to take full advantage of the Happy Hour promo Stars has... (which they neglected to do for SNG players)

January 2-8: 04:00 ET
January 9- 15: 10:00 ET
January 16-22: 16:00 ET
January 23-29: 22:00 ET

Good luck to those who have set their goals and those who still have to finish them up! I'm going to be updating the blog as I add/remove/hit new goals during 2012 - I'm really excited about my targets so far...

Wednesday, December 28, 2011

New Watch!!!

I'm making this post so I don't forget this new goal/reward I want... Nothing too interesting for readers..

Goal is to spend less than $50,000 in total next year on everything...

Reward is to get myself a new watch with whatever the difference is... Instead of focusing on making more money next year, which I intend to do regardless of some trivial reward, I'll reward myself for conserving what I have, which I think is a far more difficult to task...